The meeting is Thursday. You need the file.
One Gulf corridor, every protocol domain. 39 decision rows, each pointing to the document behind it — issuer, date, status, working link. Signed PDF, in minutes.
The Gulf's crude and LNG exit. EU refiners and gas markets price this risk even when no interruption occurs.
Inspect the signed dossier before ordering.
The signed colophon and pages 4–6 from the live Strait of Hormuz edition: scope & current state, exposure limits, banking / trade-finance protocols, and legal / contractual triggers with full document citations.
The corridor, as seen from orbit.
Each edition carries a Sentinel-2 frame of the corridor and its anchor port. Public data, processed and attributed — not a stock photo.
Copernicus Sentinel-2 L2A · 10 m/px · scene 2026-10-28
Analysed visual · schematic route and anchorage context · Copernicus Sentinel-2 / NASA GIBS public data
This is the file.
Every row names the role that owns the action, so an insurer, a bank and a charterer each find their own line. Three rows from three domains, as printed — figures in the live file.
Each row carries issuer · publication date · status (verified / org-verified / analyst assessment) · checked date · jurisdiction · legal basis · a link that resolves to the document.
| Trigger | Protocol | Action | Owner | Horizon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| War-risk AP > 1.5% of hull value | JWC Listed Areas + CONWARTIME 2013 | Parallel placement: London + Singapore/HK binders | insurer | 24–72h |
| AIS gap > 12h on the insured voyage | OFAC / OFSI maritime sanctions advisory | Hold claim settlement; document gap; legal sign-off | insurer | 24–72h |
| LC documents rejected after a route change | UCP 600 / ISBP review | Amend LC; notify issuing bank | trader, compliance | 24–72h |
We publish what failed, too.
No model writes the score: fixed weights, fixed thresholds, same inputs, same number. The price-lead test on Hormuz came back null, and we do not sell one.
Read the validation record →132 rows · raw F, p, n per lag · nulls included · generated from backtest/out
stress → Brent
stress → DE-LU power
stress → Brent
Who signs it.
Four decades in border security. Led the PHARE project preparing Hungarian border officers for Schengen accession. Write down what the decision was based on, because someone will ask — that habit is the product.
Founder and President (since 1991) of the Szemere Bertalan Hungarian Law Enforcement History Scientific Society (SZBMRTT, court reg. no. 01-02-0003324). Public record: szbmrtt.hu/en/szemelyek.
PGP key 2E0844B46B3AC477
Fingerprint 512A 10A6 83CD DAFA A00C BECF 2E08 44B4 6B3A C477
ORCID 0000-0003-3368-2944
gridresilience.eu/verify
Questions
Is this investment advice?
No. Decision support: current-state reporting stress, no forecast, no price call, not a compliance programme.
Can I show it to a client?
Yes — show, quote, discuss. Not hand over as a standalone document. Full text in section 7 and the licence file.
What if a link is dead or a citation wrong?
We fix it and reissue the file.
Can I pay by invoice?
Yes. Request it by e-mail; same-day reply.