Live · Hormuz band critical

The meeting is Thursday. You need the file.

One Gulf corridor, every protocol domain. 39 decision rows, each pointing to the document behind it — issuer, date, status, working link. Signed PDF, in minutes.

174sources read
11languages
80%non-English originals
39decision rows
Operational visual intelligence

The corridor, as seen from orbit.

Each edition carries a Sentinel-2 frame of the corridor and its anchor port. Public data, processed and attributed — not a stock photo.

Copernicus Sentinel-2 L2A · 10 m/px · scene 2026-10-28

Sentinel-2 frame — Strait of Hormuz, Fujairah
Sentinel-2 L2A
26.5N 56.3E · Fujairah anchorage
STRESS 66.1 · JWC LISTED

Analysed visual · schematic route and anchorage context · Copernicus Sentinel-2 / NASA GIBS public data

This is the file.

Every row names the role that owns the action, so an insurer, a bank and a charterer each find their own line. Three rows from three domains, as printed — figures in the live file.

Each row carries issuer · publication date · status (verified / org-verified / analyst assessment) · checked date · jurisdiction · legal basis · a link that resolves to the document.

TriggerProtocolActionOwnerHorizon
War-risk AP > 1.5% of hull valueJWC Listed Areas + CONWARTIME 2013Parallel placement: London + Singapore/HK bindersinsurer24–72h
AIS gap > 12h on the insured voyageOFAC / OFSI maritime sanctions advisoryHold claim settlement; document gap; legal sign-offinsurer24–72h
LC documents rejected after a route changeUCP 600 / ISBP reviewAmend LC; notify issuing banktrader, compliance24–72h

We publish what failed, too.

No model writes the score: fixed weights, fixed thresholds, same inputs, same number. The price-lead test on Hormuz came back null, and we do not sell one.

Read the validation record →

132 rows · raw F, p, n per lag · nulls included · generated from backtest/out

HOLDSSuez 2021
stress → Brent
HOLDSUkraine 2022
stress → DE-LU power
NULLHormuz 2024–25
stress → Brent

Who signs it.

BrokerInsurerForwarderTraderBank
Dr. Parádi József
Retired border-guard colonel · sole proprietor, Budapest

Four decades in border security. Led the PHARE project preparing Hungarian border officers for Schengen accession. Write down what the decision was based on, because someone will ask — that habit is the product.

Verify the signature

PGP key 2E0844B46B3AC477
Fingerprint 512A 10A6 83CD DAFA A00C BECF 2E08 44B4 6B3A C477
ORCID 0000-0003-3368-2944
gridresilience.eu/verify

Questions

Is this investment advice?

No. Decision support: current-state reporting stress, no forecast, no price call, not a compliance programme.

Can I show it to a client?

Yes — show, quote, discuss. Not hand over as a standalone document. Full text in section 7 and the licence file.

What if a link is dead or a citation wrong?

We fix it and reissue the file.

Can I pay by invoice?

Yes. Request it by e-mail; same-day reply.

€290Get the file